Graphs and Charts

Statistics • Topic 18 • intermediate

🎯 Probability Basics

Probability measures how likely an event is to occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1.

Probability Scale

0: Impossible

0.5: Even chance

1: Certain

0 0.5 1

Basic Formula

P(E) = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of outcomes

Example

Rolling a dice:

P(getting 3) = 1/6 ≈ 0.167

P(even number) = 3/6 = 0.5

🎲 Probability Rules and Examples

Coin Toss Example

Sample Space: {Heads, Tails}

P(Heads) = 1/2 = 0.5

P(Tails) = 1/2 = 0.5

Sum: 0.5 + 0.5 = 1 ✓

Card Draw Example

Standard deck: 52 cards

P(Heart) = 13/52 = 1/4

P(King) = 4/52 = 1/13

P(Red card) = 26/52 = 1/2

🔗 Probability Rules

Addition Rule

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

For mutually exclusive events: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Complement Rule

P(not A) = 1 - P(A)

The probability that an event doesn't happen

🎯 Interactive Practice

Question 1: A bag contains 5 red balls, 3 blue balls, and 2 green balls. What is the probability of drawing a red ball?

Question 2: Rolling a fair 6-sided dice, what is P(getting a number greater than 4)?

Question 3: If P(sunny) = 0.7, what is P(not sunny)?